Formula One races ought to be won or lost through a combination of three variables: driver skill, car performance (machinery) and team strategy. When a team executes each of these in superior fashion, a win should be the result. Unfortunately, there’s a forth factor that comes into play, which is out of anyone’s control: luck.
For the first half of the Dutch Grand Prix, team strategies dictated how the race unfolded, as the three top teams—Red Bull, Ferrari and Mercedes—all started well from P1 to P6. But Mercedes took an alternative approach by starting on the medium tires. This implied the possibility of a one-stop strategy,
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